About Power Geopolitics

Trusted partner and analytical powerhouse delivering data-driven geopolitical intelligence and strategic defense analysis

In an era defined by rapid geopolitical shifts and complex security challenges, Power Geopolitics (PGP) stands as a trusted partner and analytical powerhouse. We are an expert- and tech-enabled advisory firm and think tank, delivering data-driven geopolitical intelligence and strategic defense analysis. We cut through the noise, providing objective, evidence-based, and bipartisan insights to empower governments, defense leaders, investors, and corporations to make critical, high-stakes decisions with confidence and foresight.

Our Mission

To deliver actionable geopolitical and defense intelligence in an increasingly complex world, leveraging a unique hybrid methodology that combines elite human expertise with advanced AI and data analytics. We aim to clarify the landscape, enabling effective strategy in defense, investment, and international security.

Our Vision

To foster a more secure and stable global environment through a clearer, data-informed understanding of power dynamics, military capabilities, and emerging threats. We equip leaders to anticipate change, build resilience, and navigate the future effectively.

Core Tenets

Fundamental principles that guide our work and build lasting trust

Trust

We build relationships based on reliability and ethical conduct, ensuring our clients can depend on our independent analysis.

Integrity

We maintain the highest standards of honesty and transparency, delivering unvarnished intelligence without bias.

Speed of Insights

We deliver timely intelligence that reveals underlying dynamics and anticipates future trajectories with analytical depth.

Objective

Our analysis is grounded in verifiable data and rigorous methodology, free from political influence.

Bipartisan

We provide neutral assessments that transcend political agendas, ensuring global credibility and applicability.

Evidence-Based

Every conclusion derives from multi-source validation and verifiable data, ensuring analytical accuracy.

Our Team

A unique blend of proven experience and cutting-edge innovation

Founder: Ben Valk

Ben founded PGP and its parent, Peregrine Foundry, to bridge the gap between complex global challenges and actionable, tech-driven insights. His background positions him at the intersection of strategy (McKinsey & Company), finance (Goldman Sachs M&A), international affairs (UN Executive Office), and technology (AI venture studio).

His advanced studies at Yale (Strategy, Technology & War, Intelligence) and HEC Paris provide the robust analytical framework underpinning PGP's methodology. This synthesis of strategic consulting, financial acumen, AI expertise, and geopolitical understanding shapes PGP's unique value proposition.

Ben Valk, Founder of Power Geopolitics

Our Networked Expertise

PGP operates with a core team augmented by a vast, discreet network of experts and volunteer contributors. This network provides real-world grounding and diverse perspectives, spanning:

Military & Intelligence

Current and former officials from the U.S. DoD, European MoDs (including the Bundeswehr), and global intelligence communities.

Policy & Academia

Seasoned analysts from leading international think tanks and academic institutions.

Industry & Technology

Leaders from the Defense Industrial Base (DIB), finance, and critical technology sectors.

AI & Data Science

Specialists driving our proprietary agentic AI capabilities for OSINT automation and qualitative dynamics quantification.

Our Impact: Projects & Initiatives

We believe in full transparency about our work and take the impact of our analysis seriously. Each project below represents our commitment to responsible research that considers strategic effects across multiple stakeholders.

Military Capability Index (MCI)

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Our flagship quantitative framework assessing conventional military strength and strategic balance across 150+ nations. We developed this tool to provide standardized, objective assessments that prevent strategic miscalculation and enhance global stability.

We analyzed the comprehensive effects of this capability assessment tool to ensure responsible application and understand its broader implications for international security.

1

First-Order Effects

Provides standardized, data-driven benchmarking that enables holistic, comparative view of national military power, preventing strategic surprise through enhanced transparency.

2

Second-Order Effects

Enables enhanced defense planning, efficient resource allocation, and realistic strategic planning for military and policy planners. Informs sophisticated market assessment and investment decisions for defense stakeholders.

3

Third-Order Effects

Fosters greater strategic stability through improved understanding of power balances; supports effective alliance planning and burden-sharing discussions among democratic partners.

Responsible Application

We present findings with emphasis on transparency benefits and defensive applications, focusing on alliance cooperation rather than competitive dynamics to support strategic stability.

'Zeitenwende' – German Defense Analysis Series

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Deep analysis of Germany's defense transformation providing evidence-based budget strategy grounded in conflict scenario modeling. This work supports democratic allies in building effective defense capabilities that strengthen collective security.

We examined how evidence-based German defense modernization affects European security architecture and NATO collective defense capabilities.

1

First-Order Effects

Delivers evidence-based, prioritized roadmap for Bundeswehr modernization, enabling efficient allocation of Germany's historic defense investment increase.

2

Second-Order Effects

Influences key German defense policy and procurement decisions, accelerating critical capability development and strengthening European Defense Industrial Base competitiveness.

3

Third-Order Effects

Directly contributes to NATO collective defense effectiveness, enhances European strategic autonomy, and serves as a model for allied capability development programs.

Responsible Application

Emphasis on defensive capabilities and NATO integration to address any regional security concerns. Transparent communication about alliance strengthening rather than autonomous military buildup.

Rare Earths & Critical Elements Mitigation Strategy

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Comprehensive analysis of strategic supply chain vulnerabilities across critical industries, providing actionable diversification strategies. This research addresses economic security challenges that underpin technological and military capabilities.

We assessed how supply chain resilience strategies affect economic security, technological innovation, and strategic autonomy for democratic partners.

1

First-Order Effects

Quantifies dependency risks and provides concrete steps for companies and governments to fortify supply chains against economic coercion and disruption.

2

Second-Order Effects

Empowers Western companies to reduce geopolitical exposure, stimulates investment in domestic and allied-shore processing capabilities, and informs effective industrial policy responses.

3

Third-Order Effects

Contributes to more resilient global industrial base, reduces strategic dependencies that enable economic coercion, and enhances economic and national security for democratic partners.

Responsible Application

We advocate for balanced supply diversification and resilience strategies rather than complete economic separation, maintaining beneficial economic relationships where appropriate.

The Unmanned Defense Economy Report

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Market-defining analysis of the global military unmanned systems landscape. This research helps stakeholders understand rapidly evolving military technologies that are reshaping the character of warfare.

We examined how market transparency in unmanned systems affects innovation trajectories, strategic stability, and the responsible development of military technologies.

1

First-Order Effects

Provides the first comprehensive, quantified overview of the $43.9B+ unmanned systems market, enabling informed investment and policy decisions.

2

Second-Order Effects

Guides strategic investment decisions, informs R&D priorities, and equips policymakers with data for industrial strategy and force structure adaptation to emerging technologies.

3

Third-Order Effects

Illuminates changing character of warfare, influences international security dynamics, and provides foundation for future arms control and ethical regulatory frameworks.

Responsible Application

We emphasize defensive applications and international cooperation in unmanned systems development, supporting responsible development frameworks and ethical use guidelines.

Advanced Wargaming & Intelligence Training

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Development of AI-driven wargaming simulations and intelligence training programs to prepare decision-makers for complex security challenges. This work focuses on preventing intelligence failures and improving crisis decision-making.

We evaluated how enhanced intelligence capabilities and bias-free analysis contribute to conflict prevention and strategic stability in crisis situations.

1

First-Order Effects

Provides realistic, high-fidelity environment for testing strategic plans and understanding complex conflict dynamics while enhancing analyst ability to recognize and mitigate cognitive biases.

2

Second-Order Effects

Reveals strategic vulnerabilities, identifies innovative defensive concepts, and improves decision-making under pressure while enhancing quality and objectivity of intelligence analysis.

3

Third-Order Effects

Improves overall military and national security readiness, fosters better crisis response capabilities, and helps prevent strategic failures through superior analytical capabilities.

Responsible Application

We focus training scenarios on defensive applications and de-escalation strategies, emphasizing conflict prevention and diplomatic solutions to maintain strategic stability.

Clear, Objective, Forward-Looking Intelligence

We believe that clear, objective, and forward-looking intelligence is not just a strategic advantage – it is a necessity. We are committed to providing the insights that matter, empowering leaders across the globe to build a more secure and resilient future.